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010/13/2025 ~ By Mike Adams ANALYSIS: Over the past 2 years, I’ve built a massive intelligence document repository that can project cause-effect consequences of present-day events. I’ve now combined it with our Enoch AI system at BrightU.AI and applied some special recursive reasoning logic to produce a reasoned analysis of the consequences of Trump’s 100% tariffs on China’s exports to the United States.What follows is the result of that report, both in an executive summary format and the full, detailed analysis itself. Trump’s Nuclear Option: 100% Tariffs on Chinese Exports Could Spark Economic Apocalypse. Article highlights: • Trump’s proposed 100% tariffs on Chinese exports could trigger an immediate global financial shock, including a liquidity crisis in shadow banking and derivatives meltdown. • China’s potential retaliation could trigger a U.S. economic collapse and global geopolitical realignment. • The dollar’s reserve status could collapse within five years, leading to a bipolar world with gold and cryptocurrencies as safe havens, and potential military conflicts over trade shifts. • Geopolitical shifts see China, Russia, and Iran forming an anti-U.S. Eurasian bloc, while Germany leads a fragmented Europe. • Saudi Arabia’s shift to petroyuan and a gold-backed currency by BRICS+ nations threaten the dollar’s global dominance. The Trump administration’s threat to impose a 100% tariff on all Chinese exports to the U.S. is not merely an economic policy shift; it is a geopolitical and financial declaration of war. A new analysis by intelligence-augmented BrightU.AI has projected a series of systemic collapses across global markets, supply chains, and alliances, leading to a new world order. Immediate Financial Shock (0-3 months) The initial impact would be a liquidity crisis in shadow banking, derivatives meltdown, and commodity price spikes. China would retaliate with Treasury dumping, rare earth embargoes, and yuan devaluation. Money market funds would freeze redemptions, triggering a bank run and forcing the Federal Reserve to introduce emergency measures, such as a new Money Market Liquidity Facility (MMLF 2.0) and direct purchases of commercial paper. Structural Economic Collapse (3-12 months) The U.S. would face soaring inflation (15-20%), unemployment surpassing 12%, and corporate bankruptcies exceeding the 2008 financial crisis. Europe would fragment, NATO would splinter, and China, Russia, and Iran would solidify a Eurasian bloc. The dollar’s reserve status would collapse, and gold and cryptocurrencies would become dominant safe havens. New Global Order (1-5 years) Assuming the 100% tariff stays in place, the world would bifurcate into U.S.-led and China-led blocs, with military conflicts in Taiwan, the South China Sea, and Eastern Europe. The U.S. would face a debt crisis, and the global trade system would be reshaped around a petroyuan standard, with the dollar excluded from Eurasian trade. Geopolitical Power Shifts and Alliance Realignments China would weaponize every lever of power, including economic, financial, military, diplomatic, and informational warfare. Russia, Iran, and China would form a new Eurasian bloc, challenging U.S. hegemony. Western Europe would fragment, with Germany leading an “Eurasian Bloc” in opposition to U.S. sanctions. The Middle East would see the end of the petrodollar, with Saudi Arabia switching to petroyuan. The global south and BRICS+ nations would form a new gold-backed currency, further undermining the dollar’s reserve status. Next Steps The consequences of Trump’s 100% tariffs on Chinese exports could be catastrophic, leading to a global financial meltdown, dollar collapse, and a new world order. As tensions escalate, the world must prepare for the worst-case scenario and work towards diplomatic solutions to avoid economic armageddon. FULL REPORT: The Aftermath of 100% Tariffs on All Chinese Exports to the U.S. The imposition of 100% tariffs on all Chinese exports by the U.S. would not merely be an economic policy shift—it would be a geopolitical and financial declaration of war, triggering a cascade of systemic collapses across global markets, supply chains, and alliances. The repercussions would unfold in three distinct phases: 1. Immediate Financial Shock (0-3 months): A liquidity crisis in shadow banking, derivatives meltdown, and commodity price spikes as China retaliates with Treasury dumping, rare earth embargoes, and yuan devaluation. 2. Structural Economic Collapse (3-12 months): U.S. inflation hits 15-20%, unemployment surpasses 12%, and corporate bankruptcies exceed 2008 levels as supply chains fracture. Europe fragments, NATO splinters, and China-Russia-Iran solidify a Eurasian bloc. 3. New Global Order (1-5 years): The dollar’s reserve status collapses, gold and crypto become dominant safe havens, and the world bifurcates into U.S.-led and China-led blocs, with military conflicts in Taiwan, the South China Sea, and Eastern Europe. The Shadow Banking Meltdown & Derivatives Time Bomb. The Shadow Banking Collapse Shadow banking—a $200T+ parallel financial system operating outside traditional regulatory safeguards—would implode within 3-6 months of the tariff imposition. The sector’s overleveraged, illiquid, and interconnected nature ensures that contagion spreads faster than in 2008. A. Money Market Funds (MMFs) Break the Buck Mechanism of Collapse: Money Market Funds (MMFs) are the bedrock of short-term corporate liquidity, holding $5.5T+ in commercial paper, Treasuries, and repo agreements. Their stability relies on two assumptions: 1. U.S. Treasuries are risk-free. 2. Corporate debt (especially Chinese commercial paper) remains liquid. |
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